Match

Chainat vs Chanthaburi: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat

ChainatChanthaburi

The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Chanthaburi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chainat vs Chanthaburi?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Chainat (1,425) and Chanthaburi (1,432).

Chainat win45 %
Draw26 %
Chanthaburi win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Chanthaburi have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 2, 2026Pattani(home)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Trat FC(away)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Police Tero(home)2-1Thai League 2
Chanthaburi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Police Tero(home)1-1Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Songkhla(away)1-1Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Nakhon Si Thammarat(away)1-1Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Sisaket United(away)0-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chainat win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Chanthaburi win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 4, 2026Chainat 1-4 ChanthaburiThai League 2
Nov 9, 2025Chanthaburi 1-2 ChainatThai League 2
Apr 19, 2025Chainat 5-2 ChanthaburiThai League 2
Dec 21, 2024Chanthaburi 1-0 ChainatThai League 2
Feb 23, 2024Chanthaburi 1-0 ChainatThai League 2
Oct 29, 2023Chainat 3-2 ChanthaburiThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Chanthaburi on Mar 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chanthaburi score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chainat1.31.8112/159/15
Chanthaburi1.21.4211/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chainat sit 6th in Thai League 2 (46 points from 34 matches) and Chanthaburi sit 14th (40 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Chainat34121012504646
14Chanthaburi34101014444640

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Chanthaburi?
The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Chanthaburi.
Where and when is Chainat vs Chanthaburi played?
Chainat vs Chanthaburi is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chainat and Chanthaburi

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