Chainat vs Chanthaburi: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat
The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Chanthaburi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chainat vs Chanthaburi?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Chainat (1,425) and Chanthaburi (1,432).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Chanthaburi have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Nakhon Si Thammarat(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sisaket United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chainat win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Chanthaburi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Chainat 1-4 Chanthaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Chanthaburi 1-2 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Chainat 5-2 Chanthaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Chanthaburi 1-0 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Chanthaburi 1-0 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Chainat 3-2 Chanthaburi | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Chanthaburi on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chanthaburi score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chainat | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Chanthaburi | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chainat sit 6th in Thai League 2 (46 points from 34 matches) and Chanthaburi sit 14th (40 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chainat | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 46 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 46 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Chanthaburi?
- The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Chanthaburi.
- Where and when is Chainat vs Chanthaburi played?
- Chainat vs Chanthaburi is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsKasetsart FC
- Nov 28, 2026Police TerovsNakhon Pathom
- Nov 28, 2026KanchanaburivsChiangmai United
- Nov 29, 2026Phrae UnitedvsMahasarakham United
- Nov 29, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsUttaradit
- Nov 29, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsSatun
- Nov 29, 2026Esan PattayavsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Nov 30, 2026SongkhlavsMuangthong United