Kashiwa Reysol vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Cerezo Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Cerezo Osaka?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Kashiwa Reysol (2,026) and Cerezo Osaka (2,019).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Cerezo Osaka have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Senshu University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 4-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Cerezo Osaka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol on Sep 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Cerezo Osaka | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Cerezo Osaka?
- The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Cerezo Osaka.
- Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Cerezo Osaka played?
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Cerezo Osaka is played on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027UrawavsShimizu S-pulse
- Apr 3, 2027Vissel KobevsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Apr 3, 2027KashimavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Apr 3, 2027FC TokyovsAvispa Fukuoka
- Apr 3, 2027Gamba OsakavsKawasaki Frontale
- Apr 3, 2027Kyoto SangavsV-varen Nagasaki
- Apr 3, 2027Mito HollyhockvsJEF United Chiba
- Apr 3, 2027Tokyo VerdyvsMachida Zelvia