Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueMatchday 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama
The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gamba Osaka wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,556 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Gamba Osaka (2,025) and Kawasaki Frontale (2,054).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gamba Osaka
4-2-3-1- 11I. Jebali
- 17R. Yamashita
- 13S. Abe
- 7T. Usami
- 16T. Suzuki
- 39K. Sumi
- 2S. Fukuoka
- 4S. Nakatani
- 15T. Kishimoto
- 21R. Hatsuse
- 1M. Higashiguchi
Kawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1- 97Derik Lacerda
- 23Marcinho
- 8K. Tachibanada
- 17T. Ito
- 14Y. Wakizaka
- 16Y. Ozeki
- 4Pedro Romano
- 5A. Sasaki
- 29R. Yamahara
- 28Y. Maruyama
- 49S. Brodersen
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 11:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(home) | 2-3 | J1 League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 3-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(away) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 1-2 | J-League Cup |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 2-4 | J1 League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sagan Tosu(away) | 2-0 | J-League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gamba Osaka wins, 2 draws, 0 Kawasaki Frontale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2025 | Gamba Osaka 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| May 25, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 Gamba Osaka | J1 League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Gamba Osaka | J1 League |
| May 19, 2024 | Gamba Osaka 3-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Kawasaki Frontale 3-4 Gamba Osaka | J1 League |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Gamba Osaka 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale on Jul 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Gamba Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gamba Osaka sit 18th in J1 League (12 points from 14 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 8th (22 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 22 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 12 |
A question about Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Kawasaki Frontale.
- Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale played?
- Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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