Urawa vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama
The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Urawa vs Shimizu S-pulse?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Urawa (1,932) and Shimizu S-pulse (1,901).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Shimizu S-pulse have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Yamanashi Gakuin(home) | 3-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(away) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 1-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Urawa win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Shimizu S-pulse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | Shimizu S-pulse 0-0 Urawa | J1 League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Urawa 2-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Urawa | J-League Cup |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Urawa 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J-League Cup |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-2 Urawa | J1 League |
| Apr 6, 2022 | Urawa 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Urawa on Sep 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urawa | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Shimizu S-pulse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 19 | Urawa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Shimizu S-pulse?
- The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Shimizu S-pulse.
- Where and when is Urawa vs Shimizu S-pulse played?
- Urawa vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 3, 2027Vissel KobevsSanfrecce Hiroshima
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- Apr 3, 2027Gamba OsakavsKawasaki Frontale
- Apr 3, 2027Kyoto SangavsV-varen Nagasaki
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