Kashima vs Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima
The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Yokohama F. Marinos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashima vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Kashima starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (2,160 vs 1,976).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Yokohama F. Marinos have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Suzuka Unlimited(home) | 3-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(home) | 3-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 4-3 | J1 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Vegalta Sendai(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kashima win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos 3-4 Kashima | J1 League |
| May 10, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Kashima | J1 League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Kashima 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Kashima 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| May 25, 2025 | Yokohama F. Marinos 3-1 Kashima | J1 League |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 Kashima | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kashima score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashima | 2.0 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kashima sit 3rd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kashima | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
- The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Yokohama F. Marinos.
- Where and when is Kashima vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?
- Kashima vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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