Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs V-varen Nagasaki played?

Kyoto Sanga vs V-varen Nagasaki is played on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kyoto Sanga vs V-varen Nagasaki: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka

Kyoto Sanga

V-varen Nagasaki

The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for V-varen Nagasaki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs V-varen Nagasaki?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,907) and V-varen Nagasaki (1,910).

Kyoto Sanga win40 %

Draw26 %

V-varen Nagasaki win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; V-varen Nagasaki have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyoto Sanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Maruyasu Okazaki(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

V-varen Nagasaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Ehime FC(home)	3-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	2-4	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Utrecht(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 V-varen Nagasaki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 9, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki 2-1 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
May 23, 2026	Kyoto Sanga 1-0 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League
Mar 18, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki 1-2 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Oct 2, 2021	V-varen Nagasaki 2-0 Kyoto Sanga	J2 League
Jul 3, 2021	Kyoto Sanga 0-2 V-varen Nagasaki	J2 League
Dec 2, 2020	Kyoto Sanga 2-1 V-varen Nagasaki	J2 League

Last archived meeting: V-varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; V-varen Nagasaki score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kyoto Sanga	0.9	2.1	3	8/15	9/15
V-varen Nagasaki	1.4	1.6	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and V-varen Nagasaki sit 16th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	V-varen Nagasaki	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
18	Kyoto Sanga	3	0	1	2	4	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs V-varen Nagasaki?: The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for V-varen Nagasaki.
Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs V-varen Nagasaki played?: Kyoto Sanga vs V-varen Nagasaki is played on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.