Match

Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Kashiwa ReysolFC Tokyo

The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for FC Tokyo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Kashiwa Reysol (2,026) and FC Tokyo (2,003).

Kashiwa Reysol win37 %
Draw27 %
FC Tokyo win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; FC Tokyo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashiwa Reysol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Senshu University(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)4-2J1 League
Aug 14, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)3-1J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)2-1J1 League
Aug 1, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
FC Tokyo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)6-0Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)2-0J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)2-2J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)1-5J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Tokyo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2026Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 FC TokyoJ1 League
Feb 28, 2026FC Tokyo 0-2 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
Jul 5, 2025Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
Apr 11, 2025FC Tokyo 1-1 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
Jul 30, 2024FC Tokyo 0-1 Kashiwa ReysolFriendlies Clubs
Jul 6, 2024Kashiwa Reysol 3-2 FC TokyoJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo on Apr 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tokyo score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashiwa Reysol1.61.237/157/15
FC Tokyo1.91.548/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and FC Tokyo sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kashiwa Reysol3300949
11FC Tokyo3111574

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo?
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for FC Tokyo.
Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo played?
Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kashiwa Reysol and FC Tokyo

Ready to know everything about football?