Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for FC Tokyo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Kashiwa Reysol (2,026) and FC Tokyo (2,003).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; FC Tokyo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Senshu University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 4-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 6-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 2-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 1-5 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Tokyo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | FC Tokyo 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | FC Tokyo 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Jul 30, 2024 | FC Tokyo 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Kashiwa Reysol 3-2 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tokyo score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Tokyo | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and FC Tokyo sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo?
- The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for FC Tokyo.
- Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo played?
- Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 29, 2027Shimizu S-pulsevsFagiano Okayama
- Apr 29, 2027UrawavsMachida Zelvia
- Apr 29, 2027KashimavsVissel Kobe
- Apr 29, 2027Cerezo OsakavsV-varen Nagasaki
- Apr 29, 2027Kawasaki FrontalevsMito Hollyhock
- Apr 29, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsNagoya Grampus
- Apr 29, 2027JEF United ChibavsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Apr 29, 2027Kyoto SangavsGamba Osaka