Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama played?

Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka

Shimizu S-pulse

Fagiano Okayama

The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Shimizu S-pulse (1,901) and Fagiano Okayama (1,938).

Shimizu S-pulse win34 %

Draw28 %

Fagiano Okayama win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Fagiano Okayama have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shimizu S-pulse
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Osaka(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(home)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-0	J1 League
Jul 18, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

Fagiano Okayama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Beluga Rosso Iwami(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(home)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	FC Schalke 04(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shimizu S-pulse win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Fagiano Okayama win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
Mar 14, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
Dec 6, 2025	Shimizu S-pulse 1-2 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
Mar 2, 2025	Fagiano Okayama 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
Jun 30, 2024	Shimizu S-pulse 3-1 Fagiano Okayama	J2 League
Apr 28, 2024	Fagiano Okayama 0-1 Shimizu S-pulse	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-pulse on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Shimizu S-pulse score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Shimizu S-pulse	0.9	1.3	1	9/15	6/15
Fagiano Okayama	1.4	1.0	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Fagiano Okayama sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
15	Shimizu S-pulse	3	1	0	2	1	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?: The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama played?: Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.