Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus played?

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama

Yokohama F. Marinos

Nagoya Grampus

The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976) and Nagoya Grampus (1,953).

Yokohama F. Marinos win47 %

Draw25 %

Nagoya Grampus win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yokohama F. Marinos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(away)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Kashima(home)	3-4	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Gainare Tottori(home)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Nagoya Grampus win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 20, 2025	Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Apr 2, 2025	Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
Dec 8, 2024	Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Oct 13, 2024	Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos	J-League Cup
Oct 9, 2024	Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 Nagoya Grampus	J-League Cup
Mar 30, 2024	Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus on Jul 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Yokohama F. Marinos	1.9	1.1	5	8/15	6/15
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.8	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Yokohama F. Marinos	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus?: The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Nagoya Grampus.
Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus played?: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.