Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Shimizu S-pulse played?

FC Tokyo vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Tokyo vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC Tokyo

Shimizu S-pulse

The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Shimizu S-pulse?

FC Tokyo starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,901).

FC Tokyo win52 %

Draw26 %

Shimizu S-pulse win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Shimizu S-pulse have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Tokyo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	6-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	2-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Vissel Kobe(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	1-5	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Shimizu S-pulse
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Osaka(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(home)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-0	J1 League
Jul 18, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Tokyo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Shimizu S-pulse win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 4, 2025	Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 FC Tokyo	J1 League
Apr 29, 2025	FC Tokyo 0-2 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
Aug 7, 2022	FC Tokyo 0-2 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
May 25, 2022	Shimizu S-pulse 0-3 FC Tokyo	J1 League
Nov 3, 2021	FC Tokyo 4-0 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
May 26, 2021	Shimizu S-pulse 3-0 FC Tokyo	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo on Oct 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC Tokyo score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Tokyo	1.9	1.5	4	8/15	10/15
Shimizu S-pulse	0.9	1.3	1	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Tokyo sit 11th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	FC Tokyo	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
15	Shimizu S-pulse	3	1	0	2	1	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Shimizu S-pulse?: The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Shimizu S-pulse played?: FC Tokyo vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.