Match

Urawa vs Machida Zelvia: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

UrawaMachida Zelvia

The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (2,116 vs 1,932).

Urawa win27 %
Draw26 %
Machida Zelvia win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Machida Zelvia have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Yamanashi Gakuin(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Grulla Morioka(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026Urawa(home)3-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)4-0J1 League
Aug 8, 2026FC Tokyo(away)5-1J1 League
Jul 18, 2026Fujieda MYFC(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Urawa win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Machida Zelvia win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia 3-1 UrawaJ1 League
May 22, 2026Machida Zelvia 1-0 UrawaJ1 League
Mar 22, 2026Urawa 1-2 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Oct 25, 2025Urawa 0-0 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Apr 13, 2025Machida Zelvia 0-2 UrawaJ1 League
Aug 31, 2024Machida Zelvia 2-2 UrawaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Machida Zelvia vs Urawa on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Machida Zelvia score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Urawa1.71.758/158/15
Machida Zelvia2.00.768/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Machida Zelvia sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Machida Zelvia33001229
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Urawa.
Where and when is Urawa vs Machida Zelvia played?
Urawa vs Machida Zelvia is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Urawa and Machida Zelvia

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