Urawa vs Machida Zelvia: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama
The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Machida Zelvia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,659 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
Machida Zelvia starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (2,172 vs 2,051).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Urawa vs Machida Zelvia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Urawa
4-3-3- 10Matheus Sávio
- 7T. Kaneko
- 45A. Onaiwu
- 12T. Seko
- 25K. Yasui
- 37H. Ueki
- 2Y. Miyamoto
- 3Danilo Boza
- 5K. Nemoto
- 18K. Hayashi
- 1S. Nishikawa
Machida Zelvia
3-4-2-1- 99T. Yengi
- 9Koki Ogawa
- 16H. Mae
- 7Y. Soma
- 33T. Akimoto
- 6H. Mochizuki
- 31N. Lavi
- 50D. Okamura
- 3G. Shōji
- 2T. Ouwejan
- 1K. Tani
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 12:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Machida Zelvia have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 3-2 | J1 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 4-0 | J-League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(away) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 5-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Urawa win, 2 draws, 3 Machida Zelvia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Machida Zelvia 3-1 Urawa | J1 League |
| May 22, 2026 | Machida Zelvia 1-0 Urawa | J1 League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Urawa 1-2 Machida Zelvia | J1 League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Urawa 0-0 Machida Zelvia | J1 League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Machida Zelvia 0-2 Urawa | J1 League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Machida Zelvia 2-2 Urawa | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Machida Zelvia vs Urawa on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Urawa score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Machida Zelvia score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urawa | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Machida Zelvia | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Urawa sit 7th in J1 League (21 points from 12 matches) and Machida Zelvia sit 1st (27 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 27 |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 21 |
A question about Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Urawa.
- Where and when is Urawa vs Machida Zelvia played?
- Urawa vs Machida Zelvia is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 29, 2027Kashiwa ReysolvsFC Tokyo
- Apr 29, 2027Shimizu S-pulsevsFagiano Okayama
- Apr 29, 2027KashimavsVissel Kobe
- Apr 29, 2027Cerezo OsakavsV-varen Nagasaki
- Apr 29, 2027Kawasaki FrontalevsMito Hollyhock
- Apr 29, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsNagoya Grampus
- Apr 29, 2027JEF United ChibavsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Apr 29, 2027Kyoto SangavsGamba Osaka