Kawasaki Frontale vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki
The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Mito Hollyhock?
Kawasaki Frontale starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kyoto Sangyo University(home) | 0-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Kawasaki Frontale win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock 1-3 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 Mito Hollyhock | J1 League |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup |
| Jul 11, 2018 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Mito Hollyhock | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs Mito Hollyhock?
- The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Mito Hollyhock.
- Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Mito Hollyhock played?
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Mito Hollyhock is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 29, 2027Kashiwa ReysolvsFC Tokyo
- Apr 29, 2027Shimizu S-pulsevsFagiano Okayama
- Apr 29, 2027UrawavsMachida Zelvia
- Apr 29, 2027KashimavsVissel Kobe
- Apr 29, 2027Cerezo OsakavsV-varen Nagasaki
- Apr 29, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsNagoya Grampus
- Apr 29, 2027JEF United ChibavsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Apr 29, 2027Kyoto SangavsGamba Osaka