Kashiwa Reysol vs Senshu University: prediction and stats
Emperor Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Senshu University. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Senshu University?
Kashiwa Reysol starts as the favourite with a 284-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Senshu University have 1, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 4-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tsukuba University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Kashiwa Reysol score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Senshu University score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Senshu University | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Senshu University?
- The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Senshu University.
- Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Senshu University played?
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Senshu University is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the Emperor Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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