Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol played?

Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka

Shimizu S-pulse

Kashiwa Reysol

The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashiwa Reysol starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (2,016 vs 1,905).

Shimizu S-pulse win27 %

Draw27 %

Kashiwa Reysol win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kashiwa Reysol have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shimizu S-pulse
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(home)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-0	J1 League
Jul 18, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	0-3	J1 League
May 31, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(home)	1-1	J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	0-1	J1 League
May 30, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(away)	6-2	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Shimizu S-pulse win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kashiwa Reysol win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 28, 2025	Shimizu S-pulse 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
May 6, 2025	Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
Aug 20, 2022	Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
May 29, 2022	Kashiwa Reysol 3-1 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
Oct 16, 2021	Shimizu S-pulse 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Mar 21, 2021	Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol on Jun 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kashiwa Reysol score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Shimizu S-pulse	1.0	1.3	2	8/15	6/15
Kashiwa Reysol	1.4	1.1	4	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Shimizu S-pulse sit 11th in J1 League (3 points from 2 matches) and Kashiwa Reysol sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Kashiwa Reysol	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
11	Shimizu S-pulse	2	1	0	1	1	1	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?: The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol played?: Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.