Where and when is Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale played?

Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at City Light Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)City Light Stadium, Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

Kawasaki Frontale

The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Fagiano Okayama (1,938) and Kawasaki Frontale (1,961).

Fagiano Okayama win44 %

Draw27 %

Kawasaki Frontale win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fagiano Okayama have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fagiano Okayama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Beluga Rosso Iwami(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(home)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	FC Schalke 04(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Kawasaki Frontale
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Tochigi SC(home)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	1-1	J1 League
Jul 16, 2026	Vanraure Hachinohe(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Fagiano Okayama win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Kawasaki Frontale win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 8, 2025	Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
Mar 16, 2025	Fagiano Okayama 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale	J1 League
Aug 14, 2019	Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 Fagiano Okayama	Emperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama on Nov 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fagiano Okayama	1.4	1.0	7	7/15	7/15
Kawasaki Frontale	1.1	1.1	2	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fagiano Okayama sit 9th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
14	Kawasaki Frontale	3	0	3	0	4	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale?: The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Kawasaki Frontale.
Where and when is Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale played?: Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at City Light Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.