Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)K’s Denki Stadium, Mito
The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Kawasaki Frontale starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,959 vs 1,829).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mito Hollyhock have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| May 30, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kawasaki Frontale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock 1-3 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 Mito Hollyhock | J1 League |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup |
| Jul 11, 2018 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mito Hollyhock sit 7th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?
- The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Mito Hollyhock.
- Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale played?
- Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Sanfrecce HiroshimavsCerezo Osaka
- Sep 12, 2026Shimizu S-pulsevsAvispa Fukuoka
- Sep 12, 2026V-varen NagasakivsNagoya Grampus
- Sep 12, 2026UrawavsFagiano Okayama
- Sep 12, 2026Vissel KobevsKashima
- Sep 12, 2026Gamba OsakavsFC Tokyo
- Sep 12, 2026Kyoto SangavsKashiwa Reysol
- Sep 12, 2026Machida ZelviavsYokohama F. Marinos