Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC played?

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the Emperor Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC: prediction and stats

Emperor Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki

Kawasaki Frontale

Tochigi SC

The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Tochigi SC. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC?

Kawasaki Frontale starts as the favourite with a 232-point Elo edge (1,960 vs 1,728).

Kawasaki Frontale win78 %

Draw14 %

Tochigi SC win8 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tochigi SC have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kawasaki Frontale
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	1-1	J1 League
Jul 16, 2026	Vanraure Hachinohe(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)	0-1	J1 League

Tochigi SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Urayasu(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	3-2	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-1	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Kawasaki Frontale win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tochigi SC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 3, 2024	Kawasaki Frontale 4-1 Tochigi SC	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC on Jun 3, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Kawasaki Frontale score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi SC score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kawasaki Frontale	0.9	1.2	2	8/15	5/15
Tochigi SC	1.3	1.1	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC?: The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Tochigi SC.
Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC played?: Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the Emperor Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.