Match

Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki

Kawasaki FrontaleJEF United Chiba

The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba?

Kawasaki Frontale starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,960 vs 1,814).

Kawasaki Frontale win56 %
Draw23 %
JEF United Chiba win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kawasaki Frontale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)1-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)2-2J1 League
Aug 9, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)1-1J1 League
Jul 16, 2026Vanraure Hachinohe(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-1J1 League
JEF United Chiba
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-2J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)0-4J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)0-3J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)1-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Kawasaki Frontale win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 JEF United Chiba win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 JEF United ChibaJ1 League
Feb 15, 2026JEF United Chiba 0-0 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Apr 14, 2024Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 JEF United ChibaFriendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2021Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 JEF United ChibaEmperor Cup
Sep 22, 2016Kawasaki Frontale 4-1 JEF United ChibaEmperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kawasaki Frontale score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kawasaki Frontale0.91.228/155/15
JEF United Chiba0.82.026/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Kawasaki Frontale3030443
20JEF United Chiba3003090

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba?
The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba played?
Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kawasaki Frontale and JEF United Chiba

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