Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki
The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba?
Kawasaki Frontale starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,960 vs 1,814).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(home) | 1-2 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Kawasaki Frontale win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 JEF United Chiba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 JEF United Chiba | J1 League |
| Feb 15, 2026 | JEF United Chiba 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 JEF United Chiba | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2021 | Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 JEF United Chiba | Emperor Cup |
| Sep 22, 2016 | Kawasaki Frontale 4-1 JEF United Chiba | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kawasaki Frontale score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| JEF United Chiba | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba?
- The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for JEF United Chiba.
- Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba played?
- Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Gamba OsakavsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Aug 29, 2026Mito HollyhockvsMachida Zelvia
- Aug 29, 2026V-varen NagasakivsFC Tokyo
- Aug 29, 2026Shimizu S-pulsevsKashiwa Reysol
- Aug 29, 2026Kyoto SangavsAvispa Fukuoka
- Aug 29, 2026Tokyo VerdyvsKashima
- Aug 29, 2026UrawavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Aug 29, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsFagiano Okayama