Where and when is Nara Club vs Kitakyushu played?

Nara Club vs Kitakyushu is played on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Konoike Athletic Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nara Club vs Kitakyushu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara, Nara Prefecture

Nara Club

Kitakyushu

The Footlab model makes Nara Club the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nara Club vs Kitakyushu?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Nara Club (1,662) and Kitakyushu (1,618).

Nara Club win52 %

Draw22 %

Kitakyushu win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nara Club have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Kitakyushu have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nara Club
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(home)	3-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Osaka(home)	1-4	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Kagoshima United(home)	1-3	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Ehime FC(away)	1-4	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Matsumoto Yamaga(away)	2-0	J2/J3 League

Kitakyushu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 18, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nara Club win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kitakyushu win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2025	Kitakyushu 0-1 Nara Club	J3 League
Jul 5, 2025	Nara Club 4-0 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Aug 24, 2024	Nara Club 0-2 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Jun 16, 2024	Kitakyushu 2-1 Nara Club	J3 League
Aug 6, 2023	Nara Club 0-1 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Jun 11, 2023	Kitakyushu 1-1 Nara Club	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Nara Club on Aug 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nara Club score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nara Club	1.7	1.9	2	12/15	11/15
Kitakyushu	1.1	1.9	2	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nara Club sit 14th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Nara Club	3	1	0	2	5	8	3
15	Kitakyushu	2	0	2	0	2	2	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nara Club vs Kitakyushu?: The Footlab model makes Nara Club the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Nara Club vs Kitakyushu played?: Nara Club vs Kitakyushu is played on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Konoike Athletic Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.