Kochi United vs Kitakyushu: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Haruno
The Footlab model makes Kochi United the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kochi United vs Kitakyushu?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Kochi United (1,636) and Kitakyushu (1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kochi United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kitakyushu have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verspah Oita(away) | 0-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 0-7 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tochigi SC(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Okinawa SV(home) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Tochigi SC(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Kochi United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kitakyushu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Kitakyushu 0-2 Kochi United | J3 League |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Kochi United 3-2 Kitakyushu | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Kochi United on Sep 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kochi United | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Kitakyushu | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kochi United sit 11th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kochi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Kitakyushu | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kochi United vs Kitakyushu?
- The Footlab model makes Kochi United the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Kitakyushu.
- Where and when is Kochi United vs Kitakyushu played?
- Kochi United vs Kitakyushu is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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