Kluczbork vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Kluczbork
The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Kluczbork. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kluczbork vs Lechia Gdansk?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Kluczbork (1,805) and Lechia Gdansk (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczbork have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Lechia Gdansk have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Kluczbork score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczbork | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Lechia Gdansk | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kluczbork vs Lechia Gdansk?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Kluczbork.
- Where and when is Kluczbork vs Lechia Gdansk played?
- Kluczbork vs Lechia Gdansk is played on September 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Sep 1, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Sep 1, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsPiast Gliwice
- Sep 1, 2026Kluczevia StargardvsPogoń Siedlce
- Sep 1, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsZaglebie Lubin
- Sep 1, 2026Odra OpolevsWisla Krakow
- Sep 1, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPodbeskidzie