Match

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice: prediction and stats

CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, Bydgoszcz

Chemik BydgoszczPiast Gliwice

The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Chemik Bydgoszcz. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice?

Piast Gliwice starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,724).

Chemik Bydgoszcz win19 %
Draw21 %
Piast Gliwice win60 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Piast Gliwice have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chemik Bydgoszcz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Flota Świnoujście(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Luzino(away)1-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Polonia Środa(home)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)3-3III Liga - Group 2
Piast Gliwice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Wieczysta Kraków(home)3-4Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Lech Poznan(away)0-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)4-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(away)0-2Ekstraklasa

How many goals should we expect?

Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 13; Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chemik Bydgoszcz2.21.8210/139/13
Piast Gliwice1.41.648/157/15

Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice?
The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Chemik Bydgoszcz.
Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice played?
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice is played on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chemik Bydgoszcz and Piast Gliwice

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