Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, Bydgoszcz
The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Chemik Bydgoszcz. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice?
Piast Gliwice starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Piast Gliwice have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
How many goals should we expect?
Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 13; Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/13 | 9/13 |
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice?
- The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Chemik Bydgoszcz.
- Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice played?
- Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Piast Gliwice is played on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 1, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsRadomiak Radom
- Sep 1, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Sep 1, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Sep 1, 2026Kluczevia StargardvsPogoń Siedlce
- Sep 1, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsZaglebie Lubin
- Sep 1, 2026Odra OpolevsWisla Krakow
- Sep 1, 2026KluczborkvsLechia Gdansk
- Sep 1, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsSandecja Nowy Sącz