Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Pogoń Siedlce played?

Kluczevia Stargard vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kluczevia Stargard vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction and stats

CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard

Kluczevia Stargard

Pogoń Siedlce

The Footlab model makes Pogoń Siedlce the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kluczevia Stargard. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Pogoń Siedlce?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Kluczevia Stargard (1,773) and Pogoń Siedlce (1,759).

Kluczevia Stargard win34 %

Draw25 %

Pogoń Siedlce win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Pogoń Siedlce have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kluczevia Stargard
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	4-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	3-3	III Liga - Group 2

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

How many goals should we expect?

Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kluczevia Stargard	2.1	1.7	2	12/15	14/15
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Pogoń Siedlce?: The Footlab model makes Pogoń Siedlce the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kluczevia Stargard.
Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Pogoń Siedlce played?: Kluczevia Stargard vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.