Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Korona, Kielce
The Footlab model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Korona Kielce II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom?
Radomiak Radom starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Radomiak Radom have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 4-5 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
How many goals should we expect?
Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce II | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Radomiak Radom | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom?
- The Footlab model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Korona Kielce II.
- Where and when is Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom played?
- Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom is played on September 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Korona, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 1, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Sep 1, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsPiast Gliwice
- Sep 1, 2026Kluczevia StargardvsPogoń Siedlce
- Sep 1, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsZaglebie Lubin
- Sep 1, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Sep 1, 2026Odra OpolevsWisla Krakow
- Sep 1, 2026KluczborkvsLechia Gdansk
- Sep 1, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPodbeskidzie