Match

Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom: prediction and stats

CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Korona, Kielce

Korona Kielce IIRadomiak Radom

The Footlab model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Korona Kielce II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom?

Radomiak Radom starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,775).

Korona Kielce II win23 %
Draw22 %
Radomiak Radom win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Radomiak Radom have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Korona Kielce II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Czarni Połaniec(home)3-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Hetman Zamosc(home)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026KSZO 1929(away)2-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wisła Kraków II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Naprzód(away)4-5III Liga - Group 4
Radomiak Radom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026Legia Warszawa(away)0-5Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026AEL(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Gornik Zabrze(home)1-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026GKS Katowice(away)1-3Ekstraklasa

How many goals should we expect?

Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Korona Kielce II2.22.3213/1513/15
Radomiak Radom1.22.0311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom?
The Footlab model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Korona Kielce II.
Where and when is Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom played?
Korona Kielce II vs Radomiak Radom is played on September 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Korona, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Korona Kielce II and Radomiak Radom

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