Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin played?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats

CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR Wisła, Tarnobrzeg

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Zaglebie Lubin

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Zaglebie Lubin starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,717).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg win15 %

Draw20 %

Zaglebie Lubin win65 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Jarosław(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

Zaglebie Lubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Legia Warszawa(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026	Piast Gliwice(home)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1.4	2.0	1	11/15	8/15
Zaglebie Lubin	1.3	0.9	7	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin?: The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin played?: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.