Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stal, Rzeszów
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie?
Podbeskidzie starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Rzeszów have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-5 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Stal Rzeszów win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Podbeskidzie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2024 | Stal Rzeszów 2-2 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Podbeskidzie 0-1 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Podbeskidzie 2-2 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Stal Rzeszów 5-0 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2020 | Stal Rzeszów 0-1 Podbeskidzie | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie on Apr 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Rzeszów | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Stal Rzeszów.
- Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie played?
- Stal Rzeszów vs Podbeskidzie is played on September 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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