Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Elana Toruń played?

Lipno Stęszew vs Elana Toruń is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lipno Stęszew vs Elana Toruń: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Lipno Stęszew, Stęszew

Lipno Stęszew

Elana Toruń

The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Elana Toruń?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Lipno Stęszew (1,708) and Elana Toruń (1,694).

Lipno Stęszew win40 %

Draw24 %

Elana Toruń win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lipno Stęszew have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Elana Toruń have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lipno Stęszew
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Lech Poznań II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Wda Świecie(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Elana Toruń
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Lipno Stęszew win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Elana Toruń win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Elana Toruń 1-1 Lipno Stęszew	III Liga - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026	Elana Toruń 1-1 Lipno Stęszew	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 20, 2025	Lipno Stęszew 2-2 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Elana Toruń vs Lipno Stęszew on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lipno Stęszew	1.3	1.7	4	7/15	9/15
Elana Toruń	1.0	2.5	0	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lipno Stęszew sit 17th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Elana Toruń sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Elana Toruń	5	1	2	2	8	10	5
17	Lipno Stęszew	5	0	1	4	5	11	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lipno Stęszew vs Elana Toruń?: The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Elana Toruń.
Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Elana Toruń played?: Lipno Stęszew vs Elana Toruń is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.