Konkola Blades vs Nkana: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Konkola Stadium, Chililabombwe
The Footlab model makes Konkola Blades the favourite at 44%, against 34% for a draw and 22% for Nkana. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Konkola Blades vs Nkana?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Konkola Blades (1,544) and Nkana (1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Konkola Blades have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Nkana have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Mines(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Power Dynamos(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | ZESCO United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Konkola Blades win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Nkana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Nkana 2-0 Konkola Blades | Super League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Konkola Blades 0-0 Nkana | Super League |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Nkana 2-1 Konkola Blades | Super League |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Konkola Blades 1-2 Nkana | Super League |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Nkana 1-0 Konkola Blades | Super League |
| Dec 1, 2021 | Konkola Blades 1-1 Nkana | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Nkana vs Konkola Blades on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Konkola Blades score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nkana score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konkola Blades | 1.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Nkana | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Konkola Blades sit 9th in Super League (48 points from 34 matches) and Nkana sit 13th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Konkola Blades | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 48 |
| 13 | Nkana | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 23 | 30 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Konkola Blades vs Nkana?
- The Footlab model makes Konkola Blades the favourite at 44%, against 34% for a draw and 22% for Nkana.
- Where and when is Konkola Blades vs Nkana played?
- Konkola Blades vs Nkana is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Konkola Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Kabwe WarriorsvsGreen Buffaloes
- Oct 24, 2026Man Utd Zambia AcademyvsPower Dynamos
- Oct 24, 2026Mufulira WanderersvsChirundu Utd
- Oct 24, 2026NAPSA StarsvsNchanga Rangers
- Oct 24, 2026NkwazivsGreen Eagles
- Oct 24, 2026ZESCO UnitedvsMutondo Stars
- Oct 24, 2026ZanacovsKansanshi Dynamos
- Oct 24, 2026Roan UnitedvsRed Arrows