Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Białystok
The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Radomiak Radom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom?
Jagiellonia starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (2,060 vs 1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Radomiak Radom have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Jagiellonia win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Radomiak Radom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Jagiellonia 1-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Radomiak Radom 1-2 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Jagiellonia 5-0 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Radomiak Radom 2-3 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Radomiak Radom 0-2 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Jagiellonia 3-2 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Radomiak Radom | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jagiellonia sit 10th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 3 matches) and Radomiak Radom sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom?
- The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Radomiak Radom.
- Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom played?
- Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Slask WroclawvsGKS Katowice
- Nov 28, 2026Wisla KrakowvsMotor Lublin
- Nov 28, 2026Legia WarszawavsWieczysta Kraków
- Nov 28, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsWisla Plock
- Nov 28, 2026Korona KielcevsCracovia Krakow
- Nov 28, 2026Lech PoznanvsPogon Szczecin
- Nov 28, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsPiast Gliwice
- Nov 28, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsZaglebie Lubin