Raków Częstochowa vs Piast Gliwice: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa
The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Piast Gliwice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Piast Gliwice?
Raków Częstochowa starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (2,034 vs 1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Piast Gliwice have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Raków Częstochowa win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Piast Gliwice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice 2-0 Raków Częstochowa | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Piast Gliwice 1-3 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Raków Częstochowa 1-3 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 0-3 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Raków Częstochowa 0-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 3-0 Raków Częstochowa | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (0 points from 3 matches) and Piast Gliwice sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs Piast Gliwice?
- The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Piast Gliwice.
- Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Piast Gliwice played?
- Raków Częstochowa vs Piast Gliwice is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026JagielloniavsRadomiak Radom
- Nov 28, 2026Slask WroclawvsGKS Katowice
- Nov 28, 2026Wisla KrakowvsMotor Lublin
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- Nov 28, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsWisla Plock
- Nov 28, 2026Korona KielcevsCracovia Krakow
- Nov 28, 2026Lech PoznanvsPogon Szczecin
- Nov 28, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsZaglebie Lubin