Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Orlen Stadion, Płock
The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Korona Kielce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Wisla Plock (1,927) and Korona Kielce (1,943).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Plock have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Korona Kielce have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wisla Plock win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Korona Kielce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | Korona Kielce 1-1 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Wisla Plock 2-0 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Korona Kielce 1-0 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Wisla Plock 2-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Korona Kielce 0-2 Wisla Plock | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Korona Kielce 4-3 Wisla Plock | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce vs Wisla Plock on Dec 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Plock | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisla Plock sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 3 matches) and Korona Kielce sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce?
- The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Korona Kielce.
- Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce played?
- Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Legia WarszawavsSlask Wroclaw
- Aug 29, 2026Radomiak RadomvsCracovia Krakow
- Aug 29, 2026Motor LublinvsPiast Gliwice
- Aug 29, 2026Wisla KrakowvsWieczysta Kraków
- Aug 29, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsPogon Szczecin
- Aug 30, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsJagiellonia
- Aug 30, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsGKS Katowice
- Aug 30, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsLech Poznan