Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)EXBUD Arena, Kielce
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie Lubin?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Korona Kielce (1,947) and Zaglebie Lubin (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Korona Kielce win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Zaglebie Lubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Korona Kielce 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Korona Kielce 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Korona Kielce 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie Lubin on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Korona Kielce sit 11th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie Lubin?
- The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Zaglebie Lubin.
- Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie Lubin played?
- Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on April 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 23, 2027JagielloniavsWieczysta Kraków
- Apr 23, 2027Slask WroclawvsRadomiak Radom
- Apr 23, 2027Wisla KrakowvsLech Poznan
- Apr 23, 2027Legia WarszawavsGornik Zabrze
- Apr 23, 2027Pogon SzczecinvsRaków Częstochowa
- Apr 23, 2027Piast GliwicevsWisla Plock
- Apr 23, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsGKS Katowice
- Apr 23, 2027Motor LublinvsCracovia Krakow