Match

Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor LublinCracovia Krakow

The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cracovia Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,933) and Cracovia Krakow (1,948).

Motor Lublin win43 %
Draw27 %
Cracovia Krakow win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Cracovia Krakow have 5, 8 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motor Lublin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Korona Kielce(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026GKS Katowice(home)1-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)1-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Jagiellonia(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Widzew Łódź(away)2-2Ekstraklasa
Cracovia Krakow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Wieczysta Kraków(home)3-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Raków Częstochowa(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026Pogon Szczecin(home)0-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026Lech Poznan(away)0-0Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Motor Lublin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cracovia Krakow win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Motor Lublin 3-3 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
Nov 22, 2025Cracovia Krakow 1-2 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Apr 26, 2025Motor Lublin 0-1 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
Oct 26, 2024Cracovia Krakow 6-2 Motor LublinEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Motor Lublin1.41.639/158/15
Cracovia Krakow1.31.168/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Motor Lublin sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Cracovia Krakow5221558
13Motor Lublin5122685

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow?
The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cracovia Krakow.
Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow played?
Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow is played on April 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Motor Lublin and Cracovia Krakow

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