Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cracovia Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,933) and Cracovia Krakow (1,948).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Cracovia Krakow have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Motor Lublin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cracovia Krakow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Motor Lublin 3-3 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Cracovia Krakow 1-2 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Motor Lublin 0-1 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 6-2 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Cracovia Krakow | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motor Lublin sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow?
- The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cracovia Krakow.
- Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow played?
- Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow is played on April 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 23, 2027JagielloniavsWieczysta Kraków
- Apr 23, 2027Slask WroclawvsRadomiak Radom
- Apr 23, 2027Wisla KrakowvsLech Poznan
- Apr 23, 2027Legia WarszawavsGornik Zabrze
- Apr 23, 2027Korona KielcevsZaglebie Lubin
- Apr 23, 2027Pogon SzczecinvsRaków Częstochowa
- Apr 23, 2027Piast GliwicevsWisla Plock
- Apr 23, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsGKS Katowice