Wisla Krakow vs Lech Poznan: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Wisla Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Lech Poznan?
Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (2,141 vs 1,984).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Krakow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lech Poznan have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 7-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(away) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 3-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 6, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wisla Krakow win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Lech Poznan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | Wisla Krakow 1-1 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 17, 2021 | Lech Poznan 5-0 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| May 8, 2021 | Wisla Krakow 1-2 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Lech Poznan 0-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Wisla Krakow 1-1 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Lech Poznan 4-0 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Wisla Krakow vs Lech Poznan on Mar 13, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznan score 2.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Krakow | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lech Poznan | 2.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisla Krakow sit 7th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 5 matches) and Lech Poznan sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisla Krakow vs Lech Poznan?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Wisla Krakow.
- Where and when is Wisla Krakow vs Lech Poznan played?
- Wisla Krakow vs Lech Poznan is played on April 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 23, 2027JagielloniavsWieczysta Kraków
- Apr 23, 2027Slask WroclawvsRadomiak Radom
- Apr 23, 2027Legia WarszawavsGornik Zabrze
- Apr 23, 2027Korona KielcevsZaglebie Lubin
- Apr 23, 2027Pogon SzczecinvsRaków Częstochowa
- Apr 23, 2027Piast GliwicevsWisla Plock
- Apr 23, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsGKS Katowice
- Apr 23, 2027Motor LublinvsCracovia Krakow