Kluczevia Stargard vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Kotwica Kórnik?
Kluczevia Stargard starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-6 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Kotwica Kórnik | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Kotwica Kórnik?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Kotwica Kórnik.
- Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Kotwica Kórnik played?
- Kluczevia Stargard vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Elana ToruńvsVictoria Września
- Oct 31, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsLuzino
- Oct 31, 2026Lech Poznań IIvsFlota Świnoujście
- Oct 31, 2026Unia SwarzędzvsStargard Szczeciński
- Oct 31, 2026Gedania GdanskvsKalisz
- Oct 31, 2026Noteć CzarnkówvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Oct 31, 2026Wda ŚwiecievsBałtyk Koszalin
- Oct 31, 2026Grom Nowy StawvsLipno Stęszew