Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, Bydgoszcz
The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Kotwica Kórnik?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724) and Kotwica Kórnik (1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-6 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 13; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/13 | 9/13 |
| Kotwica Kórnik | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Kotwica Kórnik?
- The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Kotwica Kórnik.
- Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Kotwica Kórnik played?
- Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Elana ToruńvsKalisz
- Mar 20, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsFlota Świnoujście
- Mar 20, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsKluczevia Stargard
- Mar 20, 2027Gedania GdanskvsPolonia Środa
- Mar 20, 2027Victoria WrześniavsBałtyk Koszalin
- Mar 20, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsWda Świecie
- Mar 20, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsLech Poznań II
- Mar 20, 2027Lipno StęszewvsLuzino