Levski Sofia vs Lillestrom: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Lillestrom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Levski Sofia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Lillestrom?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Levski Sofia (1,990) and Lillestrom (2,021).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Levski Sofia vs Lillestrom
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Levski Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7Reinaldo
- 35Serginho
- 18G. Trdin
- 17Everton Bala
- 20Álex Centelles
- 19E. El Moubarik
- 4C. Makoun
- 3Maicon
- 21Aldair
- 50K. Dimitrov
- 92S. Vutsov
Lillestrom
4-1-4-1- 8F. Gulbrandsen
- 20Vá
- 14G. Nyheim
- 21F. Ottosson
- 17E. Kitolano
- 22D. Bassi
- 2L. Ranger
- 11F. Elkær
- 28R. Gabrielsen
- 5S. Foss
- 12P. Dahlberg
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levski Sofia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Lillestrom have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 2-4 | Super Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Viking(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Levski Sofia score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lillestrom score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Lillestrom | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levski Sofia sit 27th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Lillestrom sit 23rd (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Levski Sofia vs Lillestrom?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia vs Lillestrom?
- The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Lillestrom.
- Where and when is Levski Sofia vs Lillestrom played?
- Levski Sofia vs Lillestrom is played on December 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.