KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines
The Footlab AI model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 1-1. If KV Mechelen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate KV Mechelen (2,019) and OH Leuven (1,968).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KV Mechelen
3-4-1-2- 9M. van Brederode
- 14B. Raman
- 6F. Hammar
- 7T. Koudou
- 30Marco Decherf
- 23S. Michez
- 26D. Praet
- 3José Marsà
- 20K. Corbanie
- 44M. Eerdhuijzen
- 1O. De Wolf
OH Leuven
3-4-3- 18R. Mirisola
- 21W. Balikwisha
- 7E. Addai
- 99D. Opoku
- 6W. George
- 8S. Schrijvers
- 26T. Ogiwara
- 34R. Nyakossi
- 5J. Lawrence
- 28E. Pletinckx
- 1D. van den Heuvel
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; OH Leuven have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Genk(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 4-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Francs Borains(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 KV Mechelen wins, 3 draws, 1 OH Leuven win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | OH Leuven 2-2 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | KV Mechelen 1-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 3, 2025 | OH Leuven 1-2 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | KV Mechelen 1-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 31, 2025 | OH Leuven 1-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | KV Mechelen 5-0 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KV Mechelen score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; OH Leuven score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| OH Leuven | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KV Mechelen sit 10th in Jupiler Pro League (12 points from 10 matches) and OH Leuven sit 14th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | KV Mechelen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 12 |
| 14 | OH Leuven | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 9 |
A question about KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven?
- The Footlab AI model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for OH Leuven.
- Where and when is KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven played?
- KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.