KVC Westerlo vs Lommel United: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Het Kuipje, Westerlo
The Footlab model makes KVC Westerlo the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Lommel United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KVC Westerlo vs Lommel United?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate KVC Westerlo (1,849) and Lommel United (1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KVC Westerlo have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Lommel United have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 0-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Genk(away) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-5 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 KVC Westerlo win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Lommel United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lommel United 4-0 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 8, 2022 | KVC Westerlo 2-1 Lommel United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Lommel United 1-2 KVC Westerlo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Lommel United 2-1 KVC Westerlo | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 6, 2022 | KVC Westerlo 3-0 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Lommel United 0-1 KVC Westerlo | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Lommel United vs KVC Westerlo on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KVC Westerlo score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lommel United score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lommel United | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KVC Westerlo sit 18th in Jupiler Pro League (0 points from 3 matches) and Lommel United sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lommel United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 18 | KVC Westerlo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KVC Westerlo vs Lommel United?
- The Footlab model makes KVC Westerlo the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Lommel United.
- Where and when is KVC Westerlo vs Lommel United played?
- KVC Westerlo vs Lommel United is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Het Kuipje, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.