St. Truiden vs Club Brugge KV: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for St. Truiden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Truiden vs Club Brugge KV?
Club Brugge KV starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (2,211 vs 2,027).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Truiden have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Club Brugge KV have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 St. Truiden win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Club Brugge KV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Club Brugge KV 2-0 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | St. Truiden 1-2 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | St. Truiden 3-2 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 2-0 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | St. Truiden 2-2 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Club Brugge KV 7-0 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St. Truiden score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Club Brugge KV score 2.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Club Brugge KV | 2.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St. Truiden sit 12th in Jupiler Pro League (2 points from 2 matches) and Club Brugge KV sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs Club Brugge KV?
- The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for St. Truiden.
- Where and when is St. Truiden vs Club Brugge KV played?
- St. Truiden vs Club Brugge KV is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.