Match

Charleroi vs Kortrijk: prediction and stats

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi

CharleroiKortrijk

The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Kortrijk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Charleroi wins, the most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Charleroi vs Kortrijk?

Charleroi starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (2,067 vs 1,887).

59%23%18%
Charleroi winDrawKortrijk win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Charleroi vs Kortrijk

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
  1. 21A. Scheidler
  1. 18Y. Khalifi
  2. 6A. Boukamir
  3. 14P. Pflücke
  4. 8J. Romsaas
  5. 20F. Situmona Mbemba
  1. 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
  2. 24M. Nzita
  3. 95C. Keita
  4. 4A. Ousou
  1. 30M. Koné

Kortrijk

4-3-3
  1. 68T. Ambrose
  2. 11S. Campbell
  3. 10G. Koyalipou
  1. 19B. Dejaegere
  2. 35B. Lambert
  3. 70A. Phillips
  1. 4Harrison Murray-Campbell
  2. 21A. Drouhin
  3. 36R. Kohon
  4. 3M. Anderson
  1. 1P. Gunnarsson

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:35 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charleroi have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Kortrijk have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Charleroi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Albert Quévy-Mons(away)1-0Cup
Oct 11, 2026Standard Liege(away)1-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 19, 2026Cercle Brugge(home)3-2Jupiler Pro League
Sep 13, 2026Zulte Waregem(away)1-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 5, 2026Union St. Gilloise(home)2-3Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Genk(away)0-3Jupiler Pro League
Sep 26, 2026Heist(away)2-2Cup
Sep 20, 2026SK Beveren(home)1-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 13, 2026RAAL La Louvière(away)0-3Jupiler Pro League
Sep 6, 2026Zulte Waregem(home)0-2Jupiler Pro League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Charleroi wins, 0 draws, 1 Kortrijk win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 29, 2026Kortrijk 1-3 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
Dec 26, 2024Kortrijk 0-1 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
Aug 25, 2024Charleroi 1-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
May 11, 2024Charleroi 3-1 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
Apr 14, 2024Kortrijk 1-2 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
Feb 3, 2024Kortrijk 1-0 CharleroiJupiler Pro League

Last archived meeting: Kortrijk vs Charleroi on Aug 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Charleroi score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kortrijk score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Charleroi1.81.169/158/15
Kortrijk0.81.726/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Charleroi sit 3rd in Jupiler Pro League (21 points from 8 matches) and Kortrijk sit 17th (3 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Charleroi870116721
17Kortrijk81072183

A question about Charleroi vs Kortrijk?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Charleroi vs Kortrijk?
The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Kortrijk.
Where and when is Charleroi vs Kortrijk played?
Charleroi vs Kortrijk is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, in the Jupiler Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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