KVZ vs Asswehly: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Asswehly the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for KVZ. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KVZ vs Asswehly?
Asswehly is a heavy favourite: 1,921 Elo points against 1,403 — a 517-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, KVZ have 1 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Asswehly have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 0-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-4 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 0-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Alamal Atbara(home) | 0-3 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Nov 27, 2020 | Alamal Atbara(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Al-Nasr(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Al Ahli Tripoli(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Al-Madina(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Al-Ittihad(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Olympic Azzaweya(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
KVZ score 0.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 7; Asswehly score 1.7 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KVZ | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 1/7 | 4/7 |
| Asswehly | 1.7 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KVZ vs Asswehly?
- The Footlab model makes Asswehly the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for KVZ.
- Where and when is KVZ vs Asswehly played?
- KVZ vs Asswehly is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.