La Virgen del Camino vs Burgos Promesas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Los Dominicos, La Virgen Del Camino
The Footlab model makes La Virgen del Camino the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Burgos Promesas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Virgen del Camino vs Burgos Promesas?
Burgos Promesas starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Virgen del Camino have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Burgos Promesas have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mojados(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Becerril Campos(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 La Virgen del Camino win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Burgos Promesas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Burgos Promesas 1-1 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | La Virgen del Camino 0-0 Burgos Promesas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | La Virgen del Camino 1-0 Burgos Promesas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Burgos Promesas 0-0 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 1, 2020 | La Virgen del Camino 1-3 Burgos Promesas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 11, 2019 | Burgos Promesas 3-1 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Burgos Promesas vs La Virgen del Camino on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
La Virgen del Camino score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Virgen del Camino | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Burgos Promesas | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | La Virgen del Camino | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 37 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Virgen del Camino vs Burgos Promesas?
- The Footlab model makes La Virgen del Camino the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Burgos Promesas.
- Where and when is La Virgen del Camino vs Burgos Promesas played?
- La Virgen del Camino vs Burgos Promesas is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Los Dominicos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026GuijuelovsUD Santa Marta
- Dec 13, 2026ArandinavsPalencia CF
- Dec 13, 2026BembibrevsSalamanca II
- Dec 13, 2026Cristo AtléticovsCalasanz de Soria
- Dec 13, 2026Mirandés IIvsTurégano
- Dec 13, 2026Atlético MansillésvsAlmazán
- Dec 13, 2026VillaralbovsColegios Diocesanos
- Dec 13, 2026Unionistas IIvsCultural Leonesa II