Guijuelo vs UD Santa Marta: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, Guijuelo
The Footlab AI model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for UD Santa Marta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guijuelo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,215 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guijuelo vs UD Santa Marta?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Guijuelo (1,794) and UD Santa Marta (1,830).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guijuelo vs UD Santa Marta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guijuelo
4-2-3-1- 19C. Godson
- 14A. Martin
- 7H. Garcia
- 27C. Herrera Gonzalez
- 8D. Sanchez
- 30B. Jimenez Sanchez
- 5J. Ruiz
- 2J. Boigues
- 17D. Sanchez
- 20R. Reyes
- 13J. Guzman
UD Santa Marta
Not enough data to predict the UD Santa Marta lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 11:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guijuelo have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; UD Santa Marta have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Villaralbo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Arandina(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Salamanca II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mirandés II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guijuelo wins, 2 draws, 1 UD Santa Marta win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Guijuelo 2-0 UD Santa Marta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 16, 2026 | UD Santa Marta 1-1 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UD Santa Marta 1-0 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Guijuelo 1-1 UD Santa Marta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Aug 7, 2022 | UD Santa Marta 0-1 Guijuelo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 19, 2022 | UD Santa Marta 0-1 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Guijuelo vs UD Santa Marta on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guijuelo score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; UD Santa Marta score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guijuelo | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| UD Santa Marta | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guijuelo sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (13 points from 9 matches) and UD Santa Marta sit 1st (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Santa Marta | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 23 |
| 10 | Guijuelo | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Guijuelo vs UD Santa Marta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guijuelo vs UD Santa Marta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for UD Santa Marta.
- Where and when is Guijuelo vs UD Santa Marta played?
- Guijuelo vs UD Santa Marta is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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