Bembibre vs Salamanca II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, Bembibre
The Footlab model makes Bembibre the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Salamanca II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bembibre vs Salamanca II?
Salamanca II starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bembibre have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Salamanca II have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Becerril Campos(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mirandés II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Unami(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Ponferradina II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bembibre win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Salamanca II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | Bembibre 1-2 Salamanca II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Salamanca II 2-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Salamanca II 2-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Bembibre 1-2 Salamanca II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Bembibre 2-2 Salamanca II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Salamanca II 1-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Bembibre vs Salamanca II on Feb 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Bembibre score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bembibre | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Salamanca II | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38 | 52 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bembibre vs Salamanca II?
- The Footlab model makes Bembibre the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Salamanca II.
- Where and when is Bembibre vs Salamanca II played?
- Bembibre vs Salamanca II is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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