Atlético Mansillés vs Almazán: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Almazán. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Mansillés wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Almazán?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Atlético Mansillés (1,801) and Almazán (1,774).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Mansillés vs Almazán
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Mansillés
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Mansillés lineup.
Almazán
Not enough data to predict the Almazán lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Almazán have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mirandés II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bembibre(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Atlético Mansillés wins, 1 draw, 0 Almazán wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Almazán 0-1 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés 1-0 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Almazán 1-1 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Atlético Mansillés 2-1 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Almazán vs Atlético Mansillés on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Mansillés score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Almazán score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mansillés | 1.2 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Almazán | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Mansillés sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (10 points from 6 matches) and Almazán sit 9th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Atlético Mansillés | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Almazán | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Atlético Mansillés vs Almazán?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Almazán?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Almazán.
- Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Almazán played?
- Atlético Mansillés vs Almazán is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026GuijuelovsUD Santa Marta
- Dec 13, 2026ArandinavsPalencia CF
- Dec 13, 2026BembibrevsSalamanca II
- Dec 13, 2026Cristo AtléticovsCalasanz de Soria
- Dec 13, 2026La Virgen del CaminovsBurgos Promesas
- Dec 13, 2026Mirandés IIvsTurégano
- Dec 13, 2026VillaralbovsColegios Diocesanos
- Dec 13, 2026Unionistas IIvsCultural Leonesa II