Where and when is Lanus vs Gimnasia M. played?

Lanus vs Gimnasia M. is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lanus vs Gimnasia M.: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Lanus

Gimnasia M.

The Footlab model makes Lanus the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Gimnasia M.. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lanus vs Gimnasia M.?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Lanus (1,860) and Gimnasia M. (1,862).

Lanus win47 %

Draw29 %

Gimnasia M. win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Gimnasia M. have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lanus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 17, 2026	Independiente(home)	1-3	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 12, 2026	Talleres Cordoba(away)	3-0	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 6, 2026	Union Santa Fe(away)	1-2	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 3, 2026	Instituto Cordoba(home)	0-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 30, 2026	Cienciano(away)	0-4	CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Gimnasia M.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gimnasia L.P.(away)	3-2	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 18, 2026	Talleres Cordoba(home)	3-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 9, 2026	Instituto Cordoba(away)	0-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 1, 2026	Union Santa Fe(home)	2-0	Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 28, 2026	San Lorenzo(away)	0-1	Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lanus win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gimnasia M. win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 21, 2026	Gimnasia M. 1-0 Lanus	Liga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Gimnasia M. vs Lanus on Apr 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lanus score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnasia M. score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lanus	0.7	1.3	7	3/15	6/15
Gimnasia M.	1.2	1.1	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lanus sit 6th in Liga Profesional Argentina (24 points from 16 matches) and Gimnasia M. sit 11th (19 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Gimnasia M.	6	4	0	2	9	5	12
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18	15	24
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14	22	19
12	Lanus	5	2	0	3	6	6	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lanus vs Gimnasia M.?: The Footlab model makes Lanus the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Gimnasia M..
Where and when is Lanus vs Gimnasia M. played?: Lanus vs Gimnasia M. is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.