Match

Lanus vs Gimnasia M.: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús, Provincia de Buenos Aires

LanusGimnasia M.

The Footlab AI model makes Lanus the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Gimnasia M.. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lanus vs Gimnasia M.?

On Elo ratings, Lanus has 1,944 points and Gimnasia M. 1,885.

59%25%16%
Lanus winDrawGimnasia M. win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lanus vs Gimnasia M.

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lanus

4-2-3-1
  1. 20A. Wlk
  1. 11E. Salvio
  2. 30A. Cardozo
  3. 77L. Besozzi
  4. 17A. Medina
  5. 16M. Sepúlveda
  1. 24C. Izquierdoz
  2. 6S. Marcich
  3. 33T. Guidara
  4. 13J. Canale
  1. 26N. Losada

Gimnasia M.

4-2-3-1
  1. 9A. Módica
  1. 30E. Fernández
  2. 21F. Antonini
  3. 26F. Lencioni
  4. 7L. Cingolani
  5. 8M. Vargas
  1. 4E. Muñoz
  2. 3M. Recalde
  3. 2D. Mondino
  4. 32L. Paredes
  1. 23C. Rigamonti

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:55 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanus have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Gimnasia M. have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lanus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Platense(away)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 12, 2026Velez Sarsfield(home)2-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 3, 2026Newells Old Boys(away)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 22, 2026Estudiantes L.P.(home)2-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 14, 2026Deportivo Riestra(away)3-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Gimnasia M.
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Velez Sarsfield(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 12, 2026Newells Old Boys(home)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 5, 2026Estudiantes L.P.(away)0-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 19, 2026Deportivo Riestra(home)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 11, 2026Defensa Y Justicia(away)0-2Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Lanus wins, 0 draws, 1 Gimnasia M. win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 21, 2026Gimnasia M. 1-0 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Gimnasia M. vs Lanus on Apr 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lanus score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnasia M. score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lanus1.20.984/156/15
Gimnasia M.1.21.355/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lanus sit 5th in Liga Profesional Argentina (23 points from 13 matches) and Gimnasia M. sit 7th (20 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Lanus1372416923
7Gimnasia M.13625151320

A question about Lanus vs Gimnasia M.?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lanus vs Gimnasia M.?
The Footlab AI model makes Lanus the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Gimnasia M..
Where and when is Lanus vs Gimnasia M. played?
Lanus vs Gimnasia M. is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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