Match

Las Palmas II vs Atlético Paso: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas IIAtlético Paso

The Footlab model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Atlético Paso. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Palmas II vs Atlético Paso?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Las Palmas II (1,865) and Atlético Paso (1,872).

Las Palmas II win43 %
Draw30 %
Atlético Paso win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas II have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Atlético Paso have 7, 8 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Palmas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Socuéllamos(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Orihuela(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Getafe II(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026Real Madrid III(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Atlético Paso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Herbania(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Las Palmas III(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026Panadería Pulido(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026Telde(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2026Marino(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Las Palmas II score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Paso score 1.4 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Las Palmas II1.11.5210/159/15
Atlético Paso1.40.496/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Palmas II vs Atlético Paso?
The Footlab model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Atlético Paso.
Where and when is Las Palmas II vs Atlético Paso played?
Las Palmas II vs Atlético Paso is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Las Palmas II and Atlético Paso

Ready to know everything about football?