Where and when is Latvia U17 vs Croatia U17 played?

Latvia U17 vs Croatia U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tuško Polje, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Latvia U17 vs Croatia U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tuško Polje, Tuzi

Latvia U17

Croatia U17

The Footlab model makes Croatia U17 the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Latvia U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Latvia U17 vs Croatia U17?

Croatia U17 starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,632 vs 1,447).

Latvia U17 win29 %

Draw22 %

Croatia U17 win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Latvia U17 have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Croatia U17 have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Latvia U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 6, 2026	Ukraine U17(away)	3-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Jun 3, 2026	Albania U17(home)	2-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025	Andorra U17(away)	5-1	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 11, 2025	Spain U17(away)	0-5	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 8, 2025	Denmark U17(home)	2-3	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Croatia U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 31, 2026	Spain U17(away)	3-2	UEFA U17 Championship
May 28, 2026	Estonia U17(away)	3-1	UEFA U17 Championship
May 25, 2026	Belgium U17(home)	0-2	UEFA U17 Championship
Mar 31, 2026	Poland U17(away)	1-1	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026	Republic of Ireland U17(away)	2-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Latvia U17 score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Latvia U17	1.9	2.4	0	9/15	13/15
Croatia U17	1.9	1.1	5	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Latvia U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (4 points from 2 matches) and Croatia U17 sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Croatia U17	3	2	1	0	8	3	7
1	Latvia U17	2	1	1	0	5	4	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Latvia U17 vs Croatia U17?: The Footlab model makes Croatia U17 the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Latvia U17.
Where and when is Latvia U17 vs Croatia U17 played?: Latvia U17 vs Croatia U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tuško Polje, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.