Leça vs Vianense: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Leça Futebol Clube, Leça da Palmeira
The Footlab model makes Leça the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Vianense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leça vs Vianense?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Leça (1,971) and Vianense (1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leça have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Vianense have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Leça win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Vianense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Vianense 3-4 Leça | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Leça 4-2 Vianense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Leça score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vianense score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leça | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Vianense | 2.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leça sit 7th in Liga 3 (4 points from 3 matches) and Vianense sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vianense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Leça | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leça vs Vianense?
- The Footlab model makes Leça the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Vianense.
- Where and when is Leça vs Vianense played?
- Leça vs Vianense is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Leça Futebol Clube, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.